Hungerford Stakes Betting Guide
Saturday’s Group Two Hungerford Stakes is named after the town situated a few miles west of the track where it’s staged – Newbury.
Run over 7f the contest is staged for horses aged 3 or older, but with 3 of the last 4 winners aged 3 it’s the younger brigade that have held sway of late.
Horse racing trends expert, Andy Newton, gives you some key stats to look out for ahead of Saturday’s renewal.
Sat 18th Aug 2012:
3.05 Newbury Betfred Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 Good To Firm 7f
Recent Hungerford Stakes Winners
2011 – Excelebration (5/4 fav)
2010 – Shakespearean (3/1)
2009 - Balthazaar's Gift (10/1)
2008 - Paco Boy (6/5 fav)
2007 - Red Evie (5/1)
2006 - Welsh Emperor 913/2)
2005 - Sleeping Indian (9/4 jfav)
2004 – Chic (9/2)
2003 - With Reason (13/2)
2002 - Reel Buddy
Hungerford Stakes 10 Year Trends
10/10 – Had won a Listed (4) or Group (6) race before
9/10 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Had won over this 7f trip before
8/10 – Officially rated 110 or more
8/10 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
7/10 – Winning distance was 1 length or more
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/10 – Had run at Newbury before (2 won)
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Andy Newton’s Verdict: Recent Goodwood winner Chachamaidee is now a significant non-runner so this really does leave the door open for STRONG SUIT.
Yes, the Hannon 4 year-old has not won since but he’s been very highly tried having run in three Group 1’s – including taking on Frankel at Ascot two runs back. The heavy ground is a big reason to put a line through his last run in the July Cup, while being back over this 7f trip is another positive – he’s unbeaten the last three times his run over 7f!
The Hannon team also have a decent record in the race – winning it twice in the last 10 years – and although this will be the first time jockey Richard Hughes doesn’t ride him the yard have booked a more-than able deputy in Ryan Moore.
Of the rest, the Hughie Morrison-trained PASTORAL PLAYER is worth a mention and looks a decent each-way option in the race. He’s won at the track before and was only beaten 5 lengths behind the mighty Black Caviar at Ascot two runs ago. He’s last two wins came over this 7f trip, while a recent second in a Group 2 at Ascot was a clear sign he’s in great heart at present.
PASTORAL PLAYER (e/w)
Leading Hungerford Stakes Trainers
Sir Henry Cecil – 1983, 1985 & 1988
Richard Hannon – 1991, 2002 & 2008
John Gosden – 1994, 1997, 1998 & 2005
Sir Michael Stoute – 1981, 1992 & 2004
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