Sandown on Saturday

Andrew Newton

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Solario Stakes Betting Guide

This Saturday’s Group 3 Solario Stakes is the feature contest from the 7-race Sandown Park card. Run over 7f the race is for 2 year-olds only and winners often go onto bigger and better things later in their careers. 

Andy Newton looks back at recent winners, plus gives you the key trends and his verdict on the race.....

Time/Date: Saturday 1^st Sept 2012
 2.50 - Candy Kittens Solario Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (2yo) M4 7f16y

2011 – Talwar (9/4)
2010 – Native Khan (6/5 fav)
2009 – Shakespearean (11/2)
2008 – Sri Putra (8/1)
2007 – Raven’s Pass (11/8 fav)
2006 – Drumfire (6/4 fav)
2005 – Opera Cape (15/2)
2004 – Windsor Knot (9/2)
2003 – Barbajuan (12/1)
2002 – Foss Way (11/2)

Key Solario Stakes Betting Trends

9/10 – Never raced at Sandown before
9/10 – Had won at least one race before
9/10 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
8/10 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
7/10 – Had 2 or more previous runs
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Had won over 7f before
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won by John Gosden
3/10 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
2/10 – Won by Mark Johnston
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Andy Newton’s Verdict: With 4 of the 7 runners coming here off the back of excellent wins then despite the small field we should be in for a decent spectacle. Trainer Jeremy Noseda took the honours 12 months ago and he tries to follow that win up with Fantastic Moon.  He won his only start at Newmarket in early August and with some fancy entries on the horizon then its clear connections think he could be a bit better than Group 3 class – he’s one for the shortlist.

Marco Botti’s Hasopop was hugely impressive last time when winning by 7 lengths in heavy ground at Newmarket, while the time before he won on a good-to-firm surface, so he’ll certainly have no ground issues. He’ll need to step up again in this company, while he’s also got a 6 week absence to overcome and, therefore, might be best watched here.

Peter Chapple-Hyam’s Mocenigo dotted up on the fibresand at Southwell by a staggering 11 lengths last time, but that was a poor 3 runner race and this will be a whole different ball game.

Mick Channon’s Chilworth Icon is respected as he comes into the race with the most experience, but based on his latest 9^th of 10 in the Group 2 Vintage Stakes he’s got plenty to find on Godolphin’s Tha’ir, who was fourth in that contest.

I expect that Bin Suroor-trained runner to be in the mix, having only been beaten a length last time out in that better class race, but the horse that won that Goodwood affair last time (Olympic Glory) was trained by Richard Hannon and, therefore, he should know where he stands with MASTER OF WAR.

He was an excellent second last time in the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood, while the horse that beat him that day (Heavy Metal) has since franked the form by finishing a neck runner-up in last week’s Gimcrack at York. Add in that Richard Hughes is taking the ride and that he’s the highest rated runner in the line-up then everything points to a big run.